Comments on: Are we set up for a Euro short squeeze? http://sovereignspeculator.com/2010/02/10/are-we-set-up-for-a-euro-short-squeeze/ Thoughts on the markets and the decline of the west Mon, 20 Dec 2010 23:24:37 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.6 By: Pej http://sovereignspeculator.com/2010/02/10/are-we-set-up-for-a-euro-short-squeeze/#comment-8522 Pej Mon, 15 Feb 2010 09:11:38 +0000 http://sovereignspeculator.com/?p=3674#comment-8522 Aki, if I put aside the fact that you are not making any sense to me, I could just tell that Peter Thiel is not the godlike person you think he is. On top of that, he seems to be a poor hedge fund manager if I were to look at his track record... Aki, if I put aside the fact that you are not making any sense to me, I could just tell that Peter Thiel is not the godlike person you think he is. On top of that, he seems to be a poor hedge fund manager if I were to look at his track record…

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By: Aki_Izayoi http://sovereignspeculator.com/2010/02/10/are-we-set-up-for-a-euro-short-squeeze/#comment-8500 Aki_Izayoi Sat, 13 Feb 2010 06:05:10 +0000 http://sovereignspeculator.com/?p=3674#comment-8500 What do you mean "prop-up" social democracy? Yes, as I said before I am a social democratic <i>idealist</i>, but I have some aspects of paleoconservative <i>realism</i> (not of the Rothbard type: think Buchanan and PC Roberts). Since I do have a sense of realism, my posts in this libertarian blog are not meant for proselytization because I realize that this would be a waste of our time and that I too have no solution for many of our problems. My intention was to criticize what I perceived to be libertarian idealism claiming that it would not solve these problems while simulataneous expressing a general discontentment with the lack of progress not solely at libertarianism. But, I do agree with Peter Thiel fervently: the main problems are not of freedom and liberty, but a lack of technological innovation which is an apolitical assertion. Thiel himself stated that the voters and the government are not even aware of these problems, and he doubts that the government can do much (and I agree with him and everyone here on this.) My believe is that most people would see capitalism as intolerable in a stagnant world (Peter Thiel said this in the interview.) I guess it is just my view though. I also said this about socialism: "Damn, I love socialism, but I realize that it is politically impossible because "Robbing Stefan to pay Sven" works while "Robbing Peter to pay Pablo" doesn't." What do you mean “prop-up” social democracy? Yes, as I said before I am a social democratic idealist, but I have some aspects of paleoconservative realism (not of the Rothbard type: think Buchanan and PC Roberts). Since I do have a sense of realism, my posts in this libertarian blog are not meant for proselytization because I realize that this would be a waste of our time and that I too have no solution for many of our problems. My intention was to criticize what I perceived to be libertarian idealism claiming that it would not solve these problems while simulataneous expressing a general discontentment with the lack of progress not solely at libertarianism.

But, I do agree with Peter Thiel fervently: the main problems are not of freedom and liberty, but a lack of technological innovation which is an apolitical assertion. Thiel himself stated that the voters and the government are not even aware of these problems, and he doubts that the government can do much (and I agree with him and everyone here on this.) My believe is that most people would see capitalism as intolerable in a stagnant world (Peter Thiel said this in the interview.) I guess it is just my view though.

I also said this about socialism:
“Damn, I love socialism, but I realize that it is politically impossible because “Robbing Stefan to pay Sven” works while “Robbing Peter to pay Pablo” doesn’t.”

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By: Mike http://sovereignspeculator.com/2010/02/10/are-we-set-up-for-a-euro-short-squeeze/#comment-8493 Mike Thu, 11 Feb 2010 18:01:46 +0000 http://sovereignspeculator.com/?p=3674#comment-8493 Golfboy hits the nail on the head. Golfboy hits the nail on the head.

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By: Aki_Izayoi http://sovereignspeculator.com/2010/02/10/are-we-set-up-for-a-euro-short-squeeze/#comment-8492 Aki_Izayoi Thu, 11 Feb 2010 16:58:51 +0000 http://sovereignspeculator.com/?p=3674#comment-8492 Graphite, I would like to thank you for your articulate philosophical answer. You have given me much to think about... Graphite, I would like to thank you for your articulate philosophical answer. You have given me much to think about…

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By: GolfBoy http://sovereignspeculator.com/2010/02/10/are-we-set-up-for-a-euro-short-squeeze/#comment-8491 GolfBoy Thu, 11 Feb 2010 15:39:03 +0000 http://sovereignspeculator.com/?p=3674#comment-8491 Statists think that the choice is between reality and utopia. Libertarians know that the real choice is between freedom and tyranny. Statists think that the choice is between reality and utopia. Libertarians know that the real choice is between freedom and tyranny.

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By: PEJ http://sovereignspeculator.com/2010/02/10/are-we-set-up-for-a-euro-short-squeeze/#comment-8490 PEJ Thu, 11 Feb 2010 11:19:17 +0000 http://sovereignspeculator.com/?p=3674#comment-8490 Aki, I am indeed a liberterian and a minarchist. As Graphite said, we are not utopians, but merely want many of the destruction done to our society in the past century to be undone. Starting with the Fed, and then with the size of the state. Most of the destruction has been done during and following the WWII. But people, like goldfishes, tend to remember only the very recent past and do not bother reading history books. I would suggest anybody reads John V Denson's books, and also Murray Rothbard's book on the great depression. Aki, I am indeed a liberterian and a minarchist.
As Graphite said, we are not utopians, but merely want many of the destruction done to our society in the past century to be undone. Starting with the Fed, and then with the size of the state. Most of the destruction has been done during and following the WWII. But people, like goldfishes, tend to remember only the very recent past and do not bother reading history books.

I would suggest anybody reads John V Denson’s books, and also Murray Rothbard’s book on the great depression.

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By: Graphite http://sovereignspeculator.com/2010/02/10/are-we-set-up-for-a-euro-short-squeeze/#comment-8489 Graphite Thu, 11 Feb 2010 09:36:00 +0000 http://sovereignspeculator.com/?p=3674#comment-8489 Aki, It's a neat trick to sneak the premise of a zero-sum, no-growth world into the debate and then use that to prop up social democracy. But where does the decay in the rate of innovation and technological development come from? It doesn't make sense to posit that it just happens "out of thin air." We can very easily compare now (a period, I would agree, of fairly slow technological growth) with periods of more rapid development (e.g. the nineteenth century) and posit that perhaps part of what helped creativity to flourish in that time was the system of <i>laissez faire</i> itself, which provided for the highest possible levels of individual self-realization, with fairly little or no obligations to or benefits from the community, other than what each individual saw fit to voluntarily pursue, in a spirit of cooperation rather than coercion. I don't need to "fantasize" about the things you listed because they DID exist then (aside from "obliteration of unions" ... workers were free to organize and employers were free to fire them and find replacements, if they could) and technology DID develop faster. Even my argument perhaps doesn't trace all this back to its root cause; a socionomist would say that both technological development and political liberty peaked in the nineteenth century because the social mood trend was at its most powerfully positive. As that positive trend has waned in the twentieth century, concern has shifted from obtaining power over nature to obtaining power over other human beings, hence the decline in both the rate of technological development and the increasing encroachment of the state into what used to properly be considered an individual's affairs. Even in a zero sum world (a premise I steadfastly refuse to grant) I don't see why social democracy would make more sense. Your argument above seems to be "libertarianism won't solve all problems, therefore we should go with social democracy, even though that won't solve all problems either." Aki,

It’s a neat trick to sneak the premise of a zero-sum, no-growth world into the debate and then use that to prop up social democracy. But where does the decay in the rate of innovation and technological development come from? It doesn’t make sense to posit that it just happens “out of thin air.”

We can very easily compare now (a period, I would agree, of fairly slow technological growth) with periods of more rapid development (e.g. the nineteenth century) and posit that perhaps part of what helped creativity to flourish in that time was the system of laissez faire itself, which provided for the highest possible levels of individual self-realization, with fairly little or no obligations to or benefits from the community, other than what each individual saw fit to voluntarily pursue, in a spirit of cooperation rather than coercion.

I don’t need to “fantasize” about the things you listed because they DID exist then (aside from “obliteration of unions” … workers were free to organize and employers were free to fire them and find replacements, if they could) and technology DID develop faster.

Even my argument perhaps doesn’t trace all this back to its root cause; a socionomist would say that both technological development and political liberty peaked in the nineteenth century because the social mood trend was at its most powerfully positive. As that positive trend has waned in the twentieth century, concern has shifted from obtaining power over nature to obtaining power over other human beings, hence the decline in both the rate of technological development and the increasing encroachment of the state into what used to properly be considered an individual’s affairs.

Even in a zero sum world (a premise I steadfastly refuse to grant) I don’t see why social democracy would make more sense. Your argument above seems to be “libertarianism won’t solve all problems, therefore we should go with social democracy, even though that won’t solve all problems either.”

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By: Aki_Izayoi http://sovereignspeculator.com/2010/02/10/are-we-set-up-for-a-euro-short-squeeze/#comment-8488 Aki_Izayoi Thu, 11 Feb 2010 06:50:14 +0000 http://sovereignspeculator.com/?p=3674#comment-8488 http://www.scribd.com/doc/25913843/Utopian-Pessimist-Calls-on-Radical-Tech-To I found this recently from Thiel... Instead of seeing an inexorable trend to The Singularity, I see one towards entropy and decay... http://www.scribd.com/doc/25913843/Utopian-Pessimist-Calls-on-Radical-Tech-To

I found this recently from Thiel…

Instead of seeing an inexorable trend to The Singularity, I see one towards entropy and decay…

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By: Aki_Izayoi http://sovereignspeculator.com/2010/02/10/are-we-set-up-for-a-euro-short-squeeze/#comment-8487 Aki_Izayoi Thu, 11 Feb 2010 06:40:03 +0000 http://sovereignspeculator.com/?p=3674#comment-8487 "Stiglitz remain a Keynesian in the end, so his solutions won’t ever make sense… He’s like Roubini for that. He sees the problems, but he doesn’t have any clue about how to solve them." What are you solutions? Libertarian fantasizing about low taxes, replacing the welfare state with charity, gold standard (or "sound money"), obliteration of unions? No, do not take this as general antagonism against anyone here, I really doubt that most libertarians (or even people) really get what is wrong. However, I do not see this as a crisis of abandoning sound money or a financial crisis anyone (those are the symptoms not the causes), but as a crisis of innovation and the stagnation of technology. This view is held by Peter Thiel (a libertarian nonetheless). I do not see how libertarianism will solve the problem, but if we are going to have a zero-sum world without innovation, I prefer social democracy. Don't this as eliciting emnity, but see it as my general disconent on the lack of real technology progress. “Stiglitz remain a Keynesian in the end, so his solutions won’t ever make sense… He’s like Roubini for that. He sees the problems, but he doesn’t have any clue about how to solve them.”

What are you solutions? Libertarian fantasizing about low taxes, replacing the welfare state with charity, gold standard (or “sound money”), obliteration of unions?

No, do not take this as general antagonism against anyone here, I really doubt that most libertarians (or even people) really get what is wrong.

However, I do not see this as a crisis of abandoning sound money or a financial crisis anyone (those are the symptoms not the causes), but as a crisis of innovation and the stagnation of technology. This view is held by Peter Thiel (a libertarian nonetheless). I do not see how libertarianism will solve the problem, but if we are going to have a zero-sum world without innovation, I prefer social democracy.

Don’t this as eliciting emnity, but see it as my general disconent on the lack of real technology progress.

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By: CP http://sovereignspeculator.com/2010/02/10/are-we-set-up-for-a-euro-short-squeeze/#comment-8484 CP Wed, 10 Feb 2010 23:36:14 +0000 http://sovereignspeculator.com/?p=3674#comment-8484 Hugh Hendry is awesome but even he is short EUR. Thus, EUR calls. Hugh Hendry is awesome but even he is short EUR.

Thus, EUR calls.

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